Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 90.3%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado18 may 26, 9:55 UTC15 may 27, 19:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which countries will officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?
KalshiWhich country will win the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first Eurovision Song Contest Asia show happen?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens 2026
Manifold MarketsIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) officially announces that Israel is banned or suspended from participating in the Eurovision Song Contest prior to the commencement of the 2027 Grand Final.
- It resolves to NO if Israel remains eligible to compete in the 2027 contest or if no such ban/suspension is announced before the final event.
- The primary source of resolution will be official statements released by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) or the official Eurovision Song Contest website.
- If the EBU issues a statement regarding Israel's participation status, that determination will be final.
- The Eurovision Song Contest has faced significant political pressure regarding participant eligibility in recent years.
Mercados abiertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 25,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 695 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volumen total
- 6,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 107,6 mil €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volumen total
- 1,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 104,5 mil €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Israel be banned before Eurovision Song Contest 2027 happens??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 90% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Israel be banned before Eurovision Song Contest 2027 happens??
- Está previsto que Will Israel be banned before Eurovision Song Contest 2027 happens? se resuelva el 15 de mayo de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Israel be banned before Eurovision Song Contest 2027 happens??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria