Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 78.5%
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado3 ene 26, 3:51 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2007088281507488174
- Resolves YES if at any point before EOY 2026, the articles available on Grokipedia exceed the amount of articles on Wikipedia's English site.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- In the unlikely event that either Grokipedia or Wikipedia shuts down, this market will be marked as N/A. Update 2026-01-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Grokipedia and English Wikipedia have exactly the same number of articles at any point before EOY 2026, this does not count as surpassing and the market will resolve NO.
- Update 2026-01-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Article counts will be determined using exact numbers unless the exact count is unavailable, in which case the creator will use the most accurate count available.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Grokipedia surpass English Wikipedia in article count by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 79% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Grokipedia surpass English Wikipedia in article count by EOY 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Grokipedia surpass English Wikipedia in article count by EOY 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Grokipedia surpass English Wikipedia in article count by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2007088281507488174