Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 62.6%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 35 minutos
5 sept 26, 10:47 UTC23 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Lex Fridman ever accomplish his goal of interviewing Grigori Perelman?
Manifold MarketsWhat Big Moves will European Union make before midnight Christmas Eve 2034 (add)
Manifold MarketsWikipedia's article on xAi's successor to Grokipedia under title Encyclopedia Galactica by Christmas eve 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell's Senate seat be vacant Christmas Eve 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories from 2025-2028 inclusive?
Manifold MarketsWill Bradley Voytek ever win the Atkinson Prize in Psychological and Cognitive Sciences?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Will Grigori Perelman accept any form of accolade, stipend, prize or laurels or the like before Christmas Eve 2030? The kudos can be for life work, for solving the Poincare Conjecture, pretty much anything.
- Maybe not for acheivements in his favorite computer game, has to be atleast somewhat science or mathematics related.
- Relenting on accepting the Millennium prize would count.
