Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 68.1%
Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado17 abr 24, 15:54 UTC24 feb 29, 21:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill global carbon dioxide emissions exceed 36,000 million metric tons in 2028?
ForecastExWill global carbon dioxide emissions exceed 36,500 million metric tons in 2028?
ForecastExAntarctic sea ice minimum to decrease in 2027?
FutuurReglas
Global energy-related CO2 emissions grew by 1.1% in 2023 (IEA), or by a mere 0.1% according to this Nature article.
- Here is the graph for the past few years form IEA.
- China alone grew around 565 Mt. China's growth was greater than the rest of the world's decrease but some think it may be close to peak.
- Q1 2024 numbers may even point at a decrease.
- Will 2028 emissions be lower than 2027?
- This market will resolves based on IEA's numbers when released based on the actual change in CO2 emissions between the two years, no matter what extraordinary event (like COVID) may happen each year.
Mercados abiertos
China
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 94,7 mil €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 11,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 35,2 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+2.5pt51.9%
- 27°C+2.5pt23.1%
- 25°C-2.0pt17.3%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volumen total
- 356,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 13,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volumen total
- 2,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 11,9 mil €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.5pt71.3%
- Moonshot-0.8pt26.7%
- Z.ai-0.8pt1%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 68% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028??
- Está previsto que Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028? se resuelva el 24 de febrero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Global energy-related CO2 emissions grew by 1.1% in 2023 (IEA), or by a mere 0.1% according to this Nature article.