EV powered by CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery to ship commercially by EOY 2026?
ChinaTecnologíaOne-OffCienciaWeather4mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 79.6%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado6 ene 26, 2:38 UTC31 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Description: CATL, the world's leading EV battery manufacturer, has promised that its next-generation Naxtra sodium-ion battery technology will be ready for large-scale deployment by the end of 2026.
- This includes applications in passenger electric vehicles (EVs), with claimed features like an energy density of 175 Wh/kg, over 500 km (310 miles) of range, fast charging (e.g., 520 km in 5 minutes in some variants), improved cold-weather performance (-40°C to 70°C), enhanced safety, and lower costs compared to traditional lithium-ion batteries.
- The battery has already passed China's GB 38031-2025 safety certification in September 2025, effective July 1, 2026.
- This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, at least one consumer-available EV model using CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery is shipped to customers (e.g., deliveries begin, as confirmed by official CATL announcements, partner automaker reports, or reputable industry sources like Electrek, Reuters, or EV-focused media). "Ship" means commercial availability and customer deliveries, not just prototypes or limited pilots.
- Resolves NO if no such EV ships by the deadline, or if the technology is delayed/canceled without deployment in an EV.
- Resolves N/A if CATL clarifies or retracts the promise in a way that invalidates the market (e.g., no EV application intended).
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de EV powered by CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery to ship commercially by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 80% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve EV powered by CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery to ship commercially by EOY 2026??
- Está previsto que EV powered by CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery to ship commercially by EOY 2026? se resuelva el 31 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida EV powered by CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery to ship commercially by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Description: CATL, the world's leading EV battery manufacturer, has promised that its next-generation Naxtra sodium-ion battery technology will be ready for large-scale deployment by the end of 2026.