Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 16:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
15% to 25% 26.9%Líder entre 5 opciones
15% to 25% 26.9%Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado8 ene 24, 18:59 UTC1 ene 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Sodium-ion batteries appear to be in the process of commercialization, with multiple companies claiming to mass-produce them today.
- Meanwhile academics claim to have mitigated all their downsides except the lower energy density, and the cost is expected to be lower than lithium-ion.
- Not requiring lithium or cobalt in manufacturing also mitigates some geopolitical risks due to the uneven distribution of these minerals.
- "Market share" is defined as "% of new EVs sold globally powered by sodium-ion batteries".
- If multiple types of batteries are used, the EV counts as powered by sodium-ion if this battery type accounts for at least 50% of the total capacity.
- I will not bet on this market.
