Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.
One-OffPolítica de EE. UU.PolíticaSociedad y cultura2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 96.8%
Pronosticadores
67
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 34 minutos
5 dic 24, 16:35 UTC23 ene 29, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?
KalshiWill every state in the US perform and recognize gay marriage at the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill Kim Jong Un visit the United States during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran legalize gay marriage?
PolymarketReglas
Settles Yes if gay marriage is illegal on the federal level on the day prior to the last day Trump is president.
- Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Market resolves to Yes if there is a federal law explicitly prohibiting gay marriage, even if individual states have laws permitting it (similar to the current federal/state dynamic with marijuana).