Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Oriente MedioGeopolítica2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 93.7%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado13 mar 26, 23:09 UTC20 ene 29, 11:59 UTC
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- Resolution Criteria
- For a draft to return, Congress would need to pass new legislation to amend the Military Selective Service Act.
- This market resolves YES if legislation authorizing a military draft is signed into law during Trump's second term (January 20, 2025 – January 20, 2029).
- Resolution will be determined by checking the status of draft authorization legislation on official government sources including Congress.gov and the Federal Register.
- The market resolves NO if Trump's term ends without such legislation being enacted.