Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 70.9%
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9
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binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado3 ene 25, 14:39 UTC1 ene 50, 22:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the first valid proofs of the Collatz Conjecture and the Riemann Hypothesis occur within 12 months of one another?
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PolymarketWill CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Gary Marcus has made a public statement suggesting that deep learning models are not capable of reasoning after a valid proof of the Riemann hypothesis has been made public.
- The underlying mathematics of this proof must have been generated/discovered by an AI system which leverages deep learning as one of its core mechanisms.
- Limited human authorship on top of the AI-discovered proof regarding the original publication is permissible provided this extends only to things such as formatting, ordering and explanations of various steps.
- This must take place before January 1st 2050 in order for this question to resolve as YES.
- If a qualifying proof is made public, and Gary Marcus makes such a statement between the time of publication and the time when the proof is broadly considered as being valid by the mathematics community, then this question resolves YES (provided that this proof becomes considered valid before 2050).
- If no such credible proof is published before January 1st 2050, then this question resolves as NO.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Gary Marcus still say that deep learning models can't reason after they prove the Riemann hypothesis??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 71% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Gary Marcus still say that deep learning models can't reason after they prove the Riemann hypothesis??
- Está previsto que Will Gary Marcus still say that deep learning models can't reason after they prove the Riemann hypothesis? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2050.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Gary Marcus still say that deep learning models can't reason after they prove the Riemann hypothesis??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Gary Marcus has made a public statement suggesting that deep learning models are not capable of reasoning after a valid proof of the Riemann hypothesis has been made public.