Will Elon spend a night in jail by EOY 2026 if Trump loses, or not if Trump wins?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElecciónCrime & Justice3m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 94.8%
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113
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
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Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado9 oct 24, 2:09 UTC2 ene 27, 6:59 UTC
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FutuurReglas
[tweet]This is a derivative question; it will resolve exactly according to these questions: @/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election
- @/EvanDaniel/will-elon-musk-spend-a-night-in-pri
- It will resolve yes if those questions resolve in different ways.
- That is, if Trump wins and Elon stays out of jail, or Trump loses and Elon goes to jail, this will resolve Yes.
- If the questions resolve in the same way, this question will resolve No.
