Will Elon spend a night in jail by EOY 2026 if Trump loses, or not if Trump wins?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónCrimen y justicia2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSí 94.9%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 20 horas
Desactualizado9 oct 24, 2:09 UTC2 ene 27, 6:59 UTC
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[tweet]This is a derivative question; it will resolve exactly according to these questions: @/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election
- @/EvanDaniel/will-elon-musk-spend-a-night-in-pri
- It will resolve yes if those questions resolve in different ways.
- That is, if Trump wins and Elon stays out of jail, or Trump loses and Elon goes to jail, this will resolve Yes.
- If the questions resolve in the same way, this question will resolve No.
