Will CFTC commissioner Caroline Pham create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
RegulaciónOne-OffAjedrezDeportes1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 5:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 89.4%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado25 ene 23, 17:36 UTC1 ene 28, 7:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Caroline Pham, currently one of 5 commissioners on the CFTC.
- Background: Caroline was the dissenting opinion with regards to how the CFTC approached reviewing Kalshi's event contracts.
- She also has the most Twitter followers out of the 5 current commissioners, and thus might be more likely to enjoy posting on Manifold.
- Inspired by @RichardHanania's How to Legalize Prediction Markets.
- See also @/SG/will-kalshi-receive-regulatory-appr
- This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years).
