Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 73.3%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
17 jun 26, 8:16 UTC10 sept 26, 12:25 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will October 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
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Manifold MarketsWill August 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in September?
PolymarketCPI in August
KalshiFed rate hike by which date?
PolymarketReglas
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Producer Price Index release for August 2026 reports that the PPI for final demand rose 0.3% or more month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis.
- Use the headline Final Demand row in the BLS Producer Price Indexes news release, seasonally adjusted one-month percent change from July 2026 to August 2026.
- Resolve NO if that seasonally adjusted month-over-month change is 0.2% or lower.
- Do not use CPI, PCE, import/export prices, year-over-year PPI, core PPI, final demand less foods/energy/trade services, not-seasonally-adjusted change, or later annual revisions unless BLS corrects the initial August 2026 release before resolution.
- If the August 2026 PPI release is delayed, wait for the first BLS release of the August 2026 figure unless there is no BLS August 2026 PPI release by September 17, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"final_demand_less_food_energy_trade_sa_mom_may_2026": 0.8, "final_demand_sa_mom_april_2026": 1.1, "final_demand_sa_mom_march_2026": 0.7, "final_demand_sa_mom_may_2026": 1.1, "final_demand_yoy_may_2026": 6.5, "note": "June and July 2026 PPI releases were still future releases at this market's creation time.", "release": "Producer Price Indexes - May 2026"}, "metric": "Seasonally adjusted one-month percent change in final demand PPI from July 2026 to August 2026", "related_non_duplicates": ["May, June, and July 2026 PPI final-demand markets are prior-reference-month markets, not August 2026 duplicates.", "CPI, PCE, AHE, import/export price, and calendar-year inflation markets use different releases or series.", "Core PPI or final-demand-less-food-energy-trade-services questions are not duplicates of headline final demand."], "release_schedule": "BLS PPI schedule lists Producer Price Index for August 2026 on 2026-09-10 at 08:30 AM Eastern.", "resolver_surface": "Initial BLS Producer Price Index release for August 2026", "series_family": "PPI final demand, seasonally adjusted", "threshold": "+0.3% month-over-month or higher"}.
- Sources / resolver surfaces: - BLS PPI release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/ppi.htm - BLS 2026 selected release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/current_year.asp - BLS current PPI release page: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.htm - BLS PPI home: https://www.bls.gov/ppi/
Mercados abiertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 89,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 541,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 30,7 mil €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 334,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,8 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 resultados más
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 77,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,5 mil €
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will August 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 73% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will August 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month??
- Está previsto que Will August 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? se resuelva el 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will August 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Producer Price Index release for August 2026 reports that the PPI for final demand rose 0.3% or more month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis.