Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 59.9%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado1 may 24, 3:09 UTC31 dic 26, 6:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Artemis V use National Team's lander to land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketReglas
Will Griffin land on the Moon and transmit data back to Earth?
- Upright landing is not required.
- Functioning payloads are not required.
- Any data or telemetry from the vehicle or any payload is adequate.
- Resolves No if the landing fails or the mission is cancelled.
Mercados abiertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 103,1 mil €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volumen total
- 57,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 57,4 mil €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volumen total
- 817,9 mil €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Astrobotic's Griffin Lander land (mostly successfully) on the moon??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 60% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Astrobotic's Griffin Lander land (mostly successfully) on the moon??
- Está previsto que Will Astrobotic's Griffin Lander land (mostly successfully) on the moon? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Astrobotic's Griffin Lander land (mostly successfully) on the moon??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will Griffin land on the Moon and transmit data back to Earth?