Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 63.5%
Pronosticadores
52
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado2 abr 26, 22:03 UTC31 dic 26, 22:55 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
PolymarketWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by which date?
Manifold MarketsWill anyone be criminally charged based on evidence from the Epstein files in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
PolymarketWill anyone face federal charges tied to Fulton County’s 2020 election?
KalshiHas anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in cannibalism?
Manifold MarketsReglas
HB 752 was just signed into law, adding Section 18-4117 to the Idaho Code.
- This law criminalizes usage of the preferred restroom for transgender persons.
- Resolves YES if anyone is formally charged under the statute in 2026.
- Resolves NO if not.
- Note that it doesn't matter if the charges are later dropped.
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1117,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+0.7pt98%
- September 25-2.0pt90%
- September 30-2.0pt80%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+38.0pt53.5%
- Nicolás Maduro-38.3pt45.5%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-1.2pt10.1%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volumen total
- 58,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 326 mil €
- What will Trump say this week?
- Fed Decision in October?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 64% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill??
- Está previsto que Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: HB 752 was just signed into law, adding Section 18-4117 to the Idaho Code.