Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 25 jul 2026, 9:40 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Pronóstico comunitario actual2024-Q3 0%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
42
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado7 jul 24, 6:3930 sept 26, 22:59
Tendencias
0%
100%
100%
0%
100%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
2026-Q458%
Tendencia de volumen
$1010 jul11d de datos25 jul
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Cabinet members as per https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers
- Resolves YES if any member of cabinet resigns, is fired, dies, or otherwise ceases to hold a position in cabinet in a listed calendar quarter (Jan-Mar, Apr-Jun, Jul-Sep, Oct-Dec).
- Being promoted to another cabinet position does not count as leaving.
- Losing one cabinet role when multiple are held (and thus remaining in cabinet) does not count as leaving.
- All cabinet members being replaced simultaneously e.g. at a general election will resolve YES.
- The only cabinet positions that will cause this to resolve are those listed under the "Cabinet Ministers" section of the webpage above.