Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 73.5%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado12 jun 25, 0:25 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Three prongs:
- 1) China agreeing to AI pause or
- 2) open AI having $3T revenue or
- 3) open AI having 80% of global compute by eoy 2028
- Inspired by my offer to @ScottAlexander on Twitter
- https://x.com/abcampbell/status/1909178653050880152