Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No (99%)
Resuelto: 10 oct 2026, 6:34
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 10 oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES if Anthropic publicly releases a new Claude Fable model with version 5.2 or higher (e.g. Fable 5.2, 5.5, 6) on October 9, 2026, Pacific Time (00:00–23:59 PT).
- Resolves NO otherwise, including if it was already released before October 9 PT.
- Counts as a release:
- - Anthropic officially announces it AND it is usable that day through at least one official channel: claude.ai / Claude apps (paid-only is fine), Claude Code, or the Claude API.
- - Staged rollouts count if at least some ordinary paying customers can select or call it by name on October 9 PT.
- - Country restrictions are fine if it is publicly available in at least one country.