Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualDecember 31 11.59pm ET 71%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
27
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 minutos
2 jun 26, 20:3830 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
July 31 11.59pm ET1%
Comparar plataformas· December 31 11.59pm ET
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general85% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 71% | — | 14,8 mil € | 154,2 mil € | hace 18 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 71% | — | — | — | hace 18 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
Anthropic IPO by __?
5.0 pts11m
-0.5pt59.7%
-5.0pt33.6%
5.9%
+3 resultados más
73 • Calidad mediaSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total715,3 mil €
Volumen 24h14,8 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
Resolves yes if Anthropic has IPO’d and has shares listed on a public stock exchange available for purchase by the date listed.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$5.0k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026? — NoAnother-Allowancehace 1 h
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026? — NoAnother-Allowancehace 1 h$10.7k91.0%POLYMARKETWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? — NoParz1vaIhace 16 d
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? — NoParz1vaIhace 16 dTendencia de volumen
$238 jul16d de datos27 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
55 mil €↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by July 31?
5,2 mil €↓$1.05T: 13%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
OpenAI IPO by which date?
4,6 mil €December: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
3,1 mil €Earbuds/Headphones: 27%
KALSHI
KALSHI
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
2,6 mil €Before Sep 1, 2026: 5%KALSHI
KALSHIastral.sh acquisition market
570,7 €OpenAI/Astral publicly deprecates or archives any current Astral project (uv, ruff, ty): 13.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
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Resolves yes if Anthropic has IPO’d and has shares listed on a public stock exchange available for purchase by the date listed.