Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 63%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 horas
Desactualizado21 may 26, 13:36 UTC31 may 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Anthropic has a profitable quarter in 2027?
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KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
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PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Market will be resolved as YES if Anthropic reports a net profit after taking into account training costs in 2028.
- More precisely, if Anthropic releases a financial statement covering the 2028 fiscal year, and according to that statement their net profit after accounting for model training costs is positive.
- The market will be resolved as NO if Anthropic reports a net loss after accounting for model training costs in 2028 fiscal year.
- If they report a net loss in one or more quarters, resolution will be based on cumulative net profit over the course of all four quarters.
- If no official public financial report detailing Anthropic's profitability in 2028 is available by June 1, 2029, the market will be resolved as N/A. Update 2026-05-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Profitability means net profit after subtracting all usual expenses (operating expenses, interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization) and model training costs.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volumen total
- 224,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 160,5 mil €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 344,9 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Anthropic be profitable in 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 63% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Anthropic be profitable in 2028??
- Está previsto que Will Anthropic be profitable in 2028? se resuelva el 31 de mayo de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Anthropic be profitable in 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Market will be resolved as YES if Anthropic reports a net profit after taking into account training costs in 2028.