Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.1%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado8 may 26, 5:50 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Anthropic PBC officially announces, releases, or opens for pre-order a physical consumer hardware product (e.g., dedicated AI wearable, smart device, or robotics hardware intended for direct consumer use) on or before December 31, 2026.
- Official announcements via Anthropic’s company blog (https://www.anthropic.com/news), press releases, or confirmed statements from Anthropic leadership serve as the source of truth.
- If no such product is announced by the end of 2026, the market resolves to NO.
- Anthropic is an AI safety and research company primarily focused on developing large language models like the Claude series.
- As of May 2026, the company has primarily operated as a software-first organization, providing access to its models via API and its web-based chat interface.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-2.0pt59.8%
- 2027-8.0pt30.8%
- 2026+1.0pt9.3%
- Volumen total
- 225,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 157 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.5pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.7%
- Grok-2.4pt5.7%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 348,3 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Anthropic announce a consumer hardware product in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Anthropic announce a consumer hardware product in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Anthropic announce a consumer hardware product in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Anthropic announce a consumer hardware product in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria