Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.1%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 33 minutos
8 may 26, 5:50 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
PolymarketWill we see analog accelerators in consumer hardware by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill I think OpenAI's first hardware product is a flop?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) 🤖📱👀
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Anthropic PBC officially announces, releases, or opens for pre-order a physical consumer hardware product (e.g., dedicated AI wearable, smart device, or robotics hardware intended for direct consumer use) on or before December 31, 2026.
- Official announcements via Anthropic’s company blog (https://www.anthropic.com/news), press releases, or confirmed statements from Anthropic leadership serve as the source of truth.
- If no such product is announced by the end of 2026, the market resolves to NO.
- Anthropic is an AI safety and research company primarily focused on developing large language models like the Claude series.
- As of May 2026, the company has primarily operated as a software-first organization, providing access to its models via API and its web-based chat interface.
