Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 20:15 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 96.5%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado14 may 26, 21:23 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be Angela Rayner's Chancellor at the end of 2026?
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KalshiWhich party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from on January 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
KalshiReglas
"Yes" if Rayner is Prime Minister on or before 1st December 2026, and "No" otherwise.
- Does not resolve "No" immediately if someone other than Rayner and Starmer becomes PM, since they may resign and be replaced by Rayner.
- Resolves "No" immediately if Rayner dies.
- Resolves "N/A" if the office of Prime Minister is abolished before December.
