Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 62.7%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 52 minutos
Retrasado6 abr 26, 1:19 UTC6 abr 30, 1:18 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- The market will resolve to "Yes" if the next novel published by Andy Weir contains a setting primarily located in outer space (e.g., aboard a spacecraft, on a planet other than Earth, or a space station).
- It will resolve to "No" if the narrative is set primarily on Earth.
- Resolution will be based on the official plot summary, author confirmation, or the published content of the book upon release.
- The market will resolve once the book is officially published or a definitive plot synopsis is released by the publisher or author via their official website (https://andyweirauthor.com/) or a major news outlet.
- Andy Weir, known for his hard science fiction, has confirmed in interviews (as of March 2026) that he is currently writing a new standalone science fiction novel.