Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Before 01/01/2029 39.7%+9.9ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
30
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+9.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
7 jul 24, 6:05 UTC10 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When will the next UK general election take place?
Manifold MarketsWhat year will the next Ukrainan presidential election take place?
Manifold MarketsWill the next British Genaral election take place before the regular deadline in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketReglas
This resolves YES for all options which are true of the polling day for the first UK General Election following 4th July 2024.
- Otherwise options resolve NO three weeks before their named date, at which point it is too late under current UK law to call an election.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will the next UK General Election take place??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Before 01/01/2029 al 40% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will the next UK General Election take place??
- Está previsto que When will the next UK General Election take place? se resuelva el 10 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will the next UK General Election take place??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This resolves YES for all options which are true of the polling day for the first UK General Election following 4th July 2024.