Will an ungated, fully driverless robotaxi service be available to the public in São Paulo before July 1, 2028?
Latin AmericaOne-OffIATecnología1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 70.6%
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4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado15 jul 26, 2:17 UTC30 jun 28, 23:59 UTC
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This market resolves YES if, before July 1, 2028 at 12:00 a.m. São Paulo time—meaning no later than June 30, 2028 at 11:59 p.m. BRT—at least one company offers an operational, on-demand, fully driverless passenger ride-hailing service within the municipality of São Paulo, Brazil.
- For a service to qualify, all of the following must be true:
- Available to the general public: Any ordinary eligible member of the public must be able to create an account and request a ride without needing a personal invitation, employment or affiliation with the operator, participation in a closed beta, or case-by-case approval.
- A normal app signup, identity verification, payment method, age requirement, terms of service, or brief generally applicable waitlist does not disqualify the service, provided access is being routinely granted and is not meaningfully restricted to a selected test group.
- On-demand taxi or ride-hailing service: Passengers must be able to request transportation between passenger-selected pickup and drop-off points within a defined service area.
- Fixed-route shuttles, buses, sightseeing circuits, airport people movers, and vehicles available only for demonstrations or prearranged test events do not qualify.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will an ungated, fully driverless robotaxi service be available to the public in São Paulo before July 1, 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 71% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will an ungated, fully driverless robotaxi service be available to the public in São Paulo before July 1, 2028??
- Está previsto que Will an ungated, fully driverless robotaxi service be available to the public in São Paulo before July 1, 2028? se resuelva el 30 de junio de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will an ungated, fully driverless robotaxi service be available to the public in São Paulo before July 1, 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if, before July 1, 2028 at 12:00 a.m. São Paulo time—meaning no later than June 30, 2028 at 11:59 p.m. BRT—at least one company offers an operational, on-demand, fully driverless passenger ride-hailing service within the municipality of São Paulo, Brazil.