Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 23 oct 2026, 8:32 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualTesla Robotaxi Dies 14.8%Líder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado23 jun 25, 17:46 UTC1 ene 28, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
https://x.com/powerbottomdad1/status/1936912446285050355
- Will Powerbottom Dad's prediction that Waymo, and Uber, will die due to the popularity of Tesla Robotaxi or the combination of suboptimal technology and the high CapEx required for their own service come true in the next few years?
- Will resolve based on evidence that Tesla's service was a chief factor, or at least that the prediction is directionally true and the CapEx of Waymo has been proven to be unsustainable.
- I suspect this will generate some healthy debate in the comments, and that eventually we may desire to have polls.
- Bonus market for the inversion that actually Robotaxis die
- [link preview]
