Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 83.2%
Pronosticadores
105
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado9 feb 23, 15:48 UTC31 dic 29, 22:01 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Nirvanna The Band The Show The Movie be nominated for an Oscar?
Manifold MarketsWill the Legend of Zelda movie be nominated for an Oscar in any category?
Manifold MarketsMidjourney is credited by name in a movie which is nominated for an Oscar before 4/2028
Manifold MarketsWill Exit 8 be nominated for an Oscar in any category?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiTime's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiReglas
Market resolves to YES if:
- At least one movie with footage that is entirely generated by a text-to-video AI is nominated for an Oscar before 2030.
- Everything else can be done by humans, including music score, script-writing, dialogue and editing, provided all of the original footage is AI-generated.
- The movie can be nominated in any category.
- Close date updated to 2030-01-01 12:01 am
