Will an "AI chip export licencing" bill like the AI OVERWATCH act become law in 2026?
PolíticaRegulaciónIAOne-OffUS Politics3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 73%
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4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado24 jul 26, 20:57 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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This will resolve by the same criteria as Polymarket, judged independently by me: Which bills will become law in 2026?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 6875 (119th) — “AI OVERWATCH Act.”
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will an "AI chip export licencing" bill like the AI OVERWATCH act become law in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 73% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will an "AI chip export licencing" bill like the AI OVERWATCH act become law in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will an "AI chip export licencing" bill like the AI OVERWATCH act become law in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will an "AI chip export licencing" bill like the AI OVERWATCH act become law in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This will resolve by the same criteria as Polymarket, judged independently by me: Which bills will become law in 2026?