Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No (99%)
Resuelto: 13 oct 2026, 13:45
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 oct 2026, 5:45 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes1%
No99%
Ganada
Perdida
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Gallup began polling Americans on their beliefs about artificial intelligence in 2023, publishing their most recent results in August 2024, and September 2025.
- According to Gallup, only 1 in 10 Americans believe AI will "do more good than harm", whereas 3 in 10 Americans believe AI will do "more harm than good".
- About half of Americans think AI will do equal amounts of harm and good.
- This question resolves YES if Gallup polling for 2026 shows more Americans believe AI will do "more good than harm" compared to Americans who believe AI will "do more harm than good".
- [image]For example, if Americans who see AI as good rise from 12% to 25%, and Americans who see AI as bad drop from 31% to 24%, then this question would resolve YES, since more Americans are favourable than disfavourable.
- Americans who think there will be equal parts good and bad do not matter for the purposes of this question.