Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027
FedInflationCommoditiesIA9mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualModerately higher inflation (2.1%-3.0%) 45%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+0.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado9 feb 26, 17:31 UTC30 jun 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
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KalshiReglas
AI investment is currently the primary driver of market dynamics.
- The key tension is that massive capital allocations to AI infrastructure (data centers, chips, energy) could either beinflationary (if capex drives energy/commodity demand up aggressively before productivity gains are realised) or disinflationary (if productivity gains materialize quickly, leading to lower costs and enabling growth without wage pressure).
- Resolution Criteria: This market resolves based on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-over-year reading as of June 2027 vs. the Fed target inflation rate of 2% and that AI technology is mentioned explicitly in Fed communication as a driver of the deviation from target.
Mercados abiertos
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.9%
- No change43.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 127,6 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt50%
- Fed maintains rate43.7%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.7%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 40,8 mil €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate43.3%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2026?
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt64.1%
- Fed maintains rate30.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 392,6 mil €
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volumen total
- 61,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 21,8 mil €
- Fed Decision in December?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
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- Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Moderately higher inflation (2.1%-3.0%) al 45% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027?
- Está previsto que Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027 se resuelva el 30 de junio de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: AI investment is currently the primary driver of market dynamics.