Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 80.3%
Pronosticadores
144
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado13 dic 25, 15:14 UTC12 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketCPI in September
KalshiInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiReglas
This market resolves YES if the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate for the United States is 3% or higher for the calendar year 2026 (Dec 2026 price level compared to Dec 2025).
- The resolution will be based on the 12-month headline CPI inflation rate published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) at https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm.
- Goes by the headline figure, typically rounded to 1 decimal.
- I will use most suitable replacement if BLS stops publishing this statistic or if it is widely treated as unreliable measure of inflation.
- I will bet in this market.
- If we hit ambiguity around reliability will agree with a group of representative YES and NO holders.
Mercados abiertos
InflationPOLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volumen total
- 61,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 21,8 mil €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.4%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 187,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,1 mil €
POLYMARKETSeptember Inflation US - Annual
- 3.6%-1.0pt39.6%
- 3.7%+0.5pt25.2%
- 3.5%+2.5pt19.8%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 resultados más
KALSHICore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Above 2.1%99%
- Above 2.2%98%
- Above 2.3%+2.0pt86%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 40,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)+3.0pt60.2%
- 3 (75 bps)-1.4pt23.3%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt15.5%
+3 resultados más
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Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 80% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026? se resuelva el 12 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate for the United States is 3% or higher for the calendar year 2026 (Dec 2026 price level compared to Dec 2025).