Will a misaligned AI kill 1% of the world population within any 12 month period before 2035?
One-OffIATecnología8aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 83%
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23
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado8 nov 23, 10:01 UTC2 ene 35, 7:59 UTC
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YES = if a misaligned AI is the primary cause of death of at least 1% of the population (~81-85M deaths based on current projections) within any 12 month period that ends before 2035.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a misaligned AI kill 1% of the world population within any 12 month period before 2035??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 83% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a misaligned AI kill 1% of the world population within any 12 month period before 2035??
- Está previsto que Will a misaligned AI kill 1% of the world population within any 12 month period before 2035? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2035.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a misaligned AI kill 1% of the world population within any 12 month period before 2035??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: YES = if a misaligned AI is the primary cause of death of at least 1% of the population (~81-85M deaths based on current projections) within any 12 month period that ends before 2035.