Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?
IAOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 88.3%
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39
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 19 horas
Desactualizado23 may 24, 13:08 UTC31 may 29, 3:59 UTC
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From https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872, expanded to not refer to Eliezer in particular.
- Resolves to YES if any statement is made or question asked, by anyone participating in a briefing, that clearly refers to AI existential risk, even if other words are used.
- Extinction risk, or any form of 'everyone will die' definitely counts.
- Intent is what matters here.
- Merely catastrophic risk does not count.
- Disrupting the proceedings does not count, unless this causes a participant to also mention it.
