Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 minutos
9 sept 26, 6:08 UTC31 dic 35, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
"Solved" means aging is reversible and humans are biologically immortal.
- Resolves "yes" if I can purchase the solution for less than 10^25 arithmetic operations (~$5m in 2026).
- Resolves "not applicable" if humans go extinct before a solution is discovered.
Mercados abiertos
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volumen total
- 15,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 30,4 mil €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volumen total
- 652,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,5 mil €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,9 mil €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt97%
- Above 600059%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 865,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,7 mil €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volumen total
- 915,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,4 mil €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volumen total
- 84 mil €
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will aging be solved by EOY 2035??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 94% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will aging be solved by EOY 2035??
- Está previsto que Will aging be solved by EOY 2035? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2035.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will aging be solved by EOY 2035??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: "Solved" means aging is reversible and humans are biologically immortal.