Will a UN body launch treaty negotiations on autonomous weapons by December 31?
One-OffPolíticaSpaceTecnologíaGeopolíticaMiddle EastEurope3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 86.9%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado26 ago 26, 16:05 UTC31 dic 26, 11:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES if a United Nations body formally adopts a mandate to negotiate a legally binding instrument on autonomous weapon systems by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Nonbinding appeals, expert meetings, working groups without a negotiating mandate, and negotiations outside the UN do not count.
- Source: United Nations.
- The market closes twelve hours before the deadline.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a UN body launch treaty negotiations on autonomous weapons by December 31??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 87% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a UN body launch treaty negotiations on autonomous weapons by December 31??
- Está previsto que Will a UN body launch treaty negotiations on autonomous weapons by December 31? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a UN body launch treaty negotiations on autonomous weapons by December 31??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if a United Nations body formally adopts a mandate to negotiate a legally binding instrument on autonomous weapon systems by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026.