Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 72.9%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
9 abr 26, 20:48 UTC31 mar 27, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
This Question resolves YES if METR makes it known publicly that an AI model has an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks.
- It will resolve N/A if METR announces the end of time horizons or stops doing them.
- n/a if they don’t release a task that long
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 73% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027??
- Está previsto que Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027? se resuelva el 31 de marzo de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This Question resolves YES if METR makes it known publicly that an AI model has an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks.