Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No (99%)
Resuelto: 1 oct 2026, 7:12
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 oct 2026, 5:45 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes1%
No99%
Ganada
Perdida
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Anthropic officially releases a new model in the Claude Haiku family (such as "Claude Haiku 5.5" or any other newly designated "Haiku" model) on or before September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- For the purposes of this market, "released" means the model is officially launched and made accessible to the public or developers (including in open beta) via at least one of the following channels:
- The Anthropic API / Claude Console (https://console.anthropic.com/)
- The consumer chat interface (https://claude.ai/)
