Will a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism be created before January 1st, 2040?
One-OffCiencia13a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 74.7%
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83
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binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 6 minutos
17 mar 23, 3:02 UTC2 ene 40, 7:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Genetic engineering has made significant advances in recent years, enabling the modification of existing organisms for various applications, such as agriculture, medicine, and environmental remediation.
- However, the creation of a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism with a distinct synthetic genome represents a major feat in the field of genetic engineering.
- This would involve the design and assembly of an organism's entire genome from scratch and the successful development of a complex, multicellular life form with the ability to grow, reproduce, and perform specific functions.
- The feasibility and timeframe for achieving this goal remain uncertain.
- Will a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism with a distinct synthetic genome be created before January 1st, 2040?
- Resolution criteria:
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism be created before January 1st, 2040??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 75% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism be created before January 1st, 2040??
- Está previsto que Will a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism be created before January 1st, 2040? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2040.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism be created before January 1st, 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Genetic engineering has made significant advances in recent years, enabling the modification of existing organisms for various applications, such as agriculture, medicine, and environmental remediation.