Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualOther 26%Líder entre 61 opciones
Pronosticadores
489
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+0.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado18 ago 23, 16:14 UTC2 feb 29, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Resolves to 100% of whoever wins the 2028 presidential election.
- Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be.
- I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later
- Resolves "None" in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held.
- If the election is postponed then this market resolves to whoever wins the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to "None".
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 68%
- También disponible en Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 25%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- También disponible en Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- También disponible en Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028