Manifold MarketsSin KYCPronóstico comunitario actualKamala Harris 3.6%Líder entre 61 opciones
Pronosticadores
479
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 días
Desactualizado18 ago 23, 16:142 feb 29, 4:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Kamala Harris4%
También disponible en PredictIt
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
22%
17%
16%
+10 resultados más
Retail prediction exchange
Volumen total0 €
Volumen 24h0 €
PREDICTITTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Who will be elected president in the 2028 US election?
2a
15.3%
2.7%
0.1%
+16 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario108 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total27,8 mil €
Volumen 24h90,1 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
2a
1.7%
0.6%
1.1%
+27 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario42 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total17,1 mil €
Volumen 24h99,8 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
2a
3.1%
-0.4%19.2%
0.8%
+18 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario577 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total483,9 mil €
Volumen 24h1,2 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Who will be elected president in 2028?
2a
+0.2%3.6%
0.6%
-0.1%1.6%
+97 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario1,973 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total1,5 M €
Volumen 24h1,7 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)
2a
19.2%
14.8%
13%
+1 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario32 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total8,6 mil €
Volumen 24h80,4 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
2a
13.8%
3.8%
1.6%
+44 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario146 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total64 mil €
Volumen 24h89,2 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
Resolves to 100% of whoever wins the 2028 presidential election.
- Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be.
- I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later
- Resolves "None" in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held.
- If the election is postponed then this market resolves to whoever wins the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to "None".
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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Resolves to 100% of whoever wins the 2028 presidential election.
- Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be.
- I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later
- Resolves "None" in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held.
- If the election is postponed then this market resolves to whoever wins the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to "None".