FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actualJD Vance 28%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
31 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
5,3 mil €
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0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This set of markets predicts the winner of the November 7, 2028, U.S. presidential general election.
- Each market below corresponds to one candidate, of which exactly one will resolve "Yes".
- Resolution is intended to occur within days of election day, not to wait for Electoral College certification.
- The Primary Designated Source is the Associated Press presidential race call.
- Resolution is triggered as soon as the AP has called the race and at least two of the following also call the same winner: Reuters, Fox News, The New York Times.
- In the case of a major discrepancy between these sources that persists beyond seven days after election day, resolution will instead be based on the aggregate of official state-certified results from each state's Secretary of State office, determining which candidate holds a majority of Electoral College votes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 81%
- También disponible en Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 27%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- También disponible en Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- También disponible en Smarkets — 2028 Presidential Election Winner · JD Vance 18%
- — Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
