MyriadComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos verificados limitadosAviso de calidad de datosSin precio significativo
Datos del 10 oct 2026, 0:38 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidad implícita actual
JD Vance 41.2%-0.1ptLíder entre 31 opciones
Calidad del mercado
22 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaTraders
3,596
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
24 feb 26, 12:35 UTC7 nov 28, 13:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWho will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketReglas
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC, before Election Day begins. - **Resolution Deadline:** By January 20, 2029, or earlier once the outcome is determined by the resolution sources.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **candidate who wins the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election**. - If a Candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - The race will be resolved based on **when all three resolution sources — the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC — call the election for the same candidate**. - Once **all three** make the same call, the market immediately resolves to that candidate.
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - If, by January 20, 2029, the three resolution sources have **not** unanimously called the same winner, the market will resolve based on who is inaugurated as President of the United States. - If any of the three sources retracts, reverses, or updates its projection before unanimity is reached, the market will wait for the next moment when all three agree. - Provisional or partial calls by only one or two outlets will not trigger resolution.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 81%
- También disponible en Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 27%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- También disponible en Smarkets — 2028 Presidential Election Winner · JD Vance 18%
- También disponible en Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
