Probabilidad implícita actual
JD Vance 49.4%+0.0%Líder entre 31 opciones
Calidad del mercado
28 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
-
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
24 feb 26, 12:357 nov 28, 13:00
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
JD Vance49%
Comparar plataformas· JD Vance
Ordenado por volumen de 24h| Plataforma | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMás activa | 20% | 0pt | 3,6 M € | 33,1 M € | hace 13 minutos | Abrir → |
 Kalshi | 18% | -2pt | 271,9 mil € | 31,3 M € | hace 8 minutos | Abrir → |
 Futuur | 15% | -5pt | 262,9 € | 0 € | hace 4 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets | 19% | -1pt | — | — | hace 5 minutos | Abrir → |
 MyriadEsta página | 49% | +29pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 4 minutos | |
 Smarkets | 17% | -3pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 4 minutos | Abrir → |
 Limitless | 50% | +30pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 5 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
2a
0.3%
-0.1%13.5%
0.2%
+42 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario1,006 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total1,1 M €
Volumen 24h77,1 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Polymarket
Presidential Election Winner 2028
0.2%2a
+0.1%20%
-0.5%14%
12%
+125 resultados más
89 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidez
Volumen total571,5 M €
Volumen 24h3,6 M €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Smarkets
2028 Presidential Election Winner
6.7%
0.2%
0.2%
+36 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total272,8 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
SMARKETSTambién disponible en Limitless
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2a
50%
50%
50%
+4 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total14,6 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambién disponible en Kalshi
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
0.2%3a
+0.2%1%
1%
0%
+27 resultados más
73 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidez
Volumen total43,5 M €
Volumen 24h271,9 mil €
KALSHITambién disponible en Futuur
US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
4m
15%
15%
14%
+2 resultados más
40 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidez
Volumen total262,9 €
Volumen 24h262,9 €
FUTUURReglas
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC, before Election Day begins. - **Resolution Deadline:** By January 20, 2029, or earlier once the outcome is determined by the resolution sources.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **candidate who wins the 2028 U.S.
- Presidential Election**. - If a Candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - The race will be resolved based on **when all three resolution sources — the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC — call the election for the same candidate**. - Once **all three** make the same call, the market immediately resolves to that candidate.
- ### **Resolution Details:**
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC, before Election Day begins. - **Resolution Deadline:** By January 20, 2029, or earlier once the outcome is determined by the resolution sources.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **candidate who wins the 2028 U.S.
- Presidential Election**. - If a Candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - The race will be resolved based on **when all three resolution sources — the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC — call the election for the same candidate**. - Once **all three** make the same call, the market immediately resolves to that candidate.
- ### **Resolution Details:**