Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualDesi Lydic 29.5%Líder entre 14 opciones
Pronosticadores
46
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 21 horas
Desactualizado10 oct 23, 1:03 UTC31 dic 26, 20:01 UTC
Tendencias
0.5%
0.1%
0.1%
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be the next permanent host of The Daily Show? [Add Answers]
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KalshiReglas
An expected permanent host will be announced in 2024.
- Resolves when the host name is announced.
- In the event it is a duo or trio hosting gig (lame) then the answer must list all names to be the winner.
- Roy Wood Jr. is out.
- Does that mean that other regulars are also being passed over? Will the show even exist in this fractured cable market? They might need a big name established name to make up for the disaster that was picking unknown Trevor Noah.
- Add your own and get a Mana bonus if someone bets on your answer.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volumen total
- 241,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 128 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 349,4 mil €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
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- Anthropic market share this week
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will takeover as permanent host of The Daily Show? (Free response)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Desi Lydic al 30% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will takeover as permanent host of The Daily Show? (Free response)?
- Está previsto que Who will takeover as permanent host of The Daily Show? (Free response) se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will takeover as permanent host of The Daily Show? (Free response)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: An expected permanent host will be announced in 2024.