Pronóstico comunitario actual
Taylor Swift 100%Líder entre 75 opciones
Pronosticadores
131
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 horas
Desactualizado10 oct 23, 4:59 UTC1 ene 29, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Who will become President through 2033? [Unlinked Free Response - Correct Options Resolve Early]
Manifold MarketsWho will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]
Manifold MarketsWhat's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [FREE RESPONSE]
Manifold MarketsTime's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketTime's Person of the Decade
KalshiReglas
New market type! All options are unlinked from other options, and will resolve either 0% or 100%.
- Options can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open until the end of 2028.
- Any submitted name that is made Time's Person of The Year in any year through 2028 will resolve Yes.
- Any abstract concept/group that I judge to be synonymous with an abstract concept/group that is named Person of the Year will also resolve Yes.
- Feel free to submit answers that are duplicates or close synonyms to existing answers, I'll resolve all correct options to the full 100%.
- Also, note that TIME has traditionally named the US president elect as the POTY in election years.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Volumen total
- 957,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 760,7 mil €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response]?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Taylor Swift al 100% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response]?
- Está previsto que Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response] se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response]?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: New market type! All options are unlinked from other options, and will resolve either 0% or 100%.