Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualJ. D. Vance 83.5%Líder entre 20 opciones
Pronosticadores
59
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado10 oct 23, 15:05 UTC17 jun 28, 6:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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FutuurReglas
This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- The probabilites of each answer are independent of the other answers.
- Individual answers can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open.
- Any person who appears in Wikipedia's "major candidates" section, at any time, for the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries will resolve YES.
- The criteria here are:
- The candidates in this section have declared their candidacies and meet one or more of the following criteria: campaign has received substantial major media coverage; current or previous holder of significant elected office (president, vice president, governor, U.S. senator, U.S. representative); have been included in at least five national polls.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1117,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza J. D. Vance al 84% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028??
- Está previsto que Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? se resuelva el 17 de junio de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi.