Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsElección1a
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualJ.D. Vance 78%Líder entre 34 opciones
Calidad del mercado
67 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,5 mil €
Liquidez
143,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
10.0% / 13.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
22 mar 25, 14:001 ene 28, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Donald J. Trump12%
Comparar plataformas· J.D. Vance
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 78% | — | 1,5 mil € | 143,6 mil € | hace 10 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets88% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 84% | — | — | — | hace 16 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?
1a
83.5%
60.9%
59.1%
+18 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario59 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
Vance announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald J.
- Trump announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump Jr. announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tulsi Gabbard announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ron DeSantis announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$1.7k2 jul27d de datos28 jul
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Vance announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald J.
- Trump announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump Jr. announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tulsi Gabbard announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ron DeSantis announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.