Who will President Herzog first task with forming Israel's next government?
22.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaElecciónOriente Medio1m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualBenjamin Netanyahu 52.2%-22.0ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
10
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multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+32.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado27 oct 26, 19:10 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Israel voted on October 27, 2026.
- Under Basic Law: The Government, after the official results are published President Isaac Herzog consults every Knesset faction and then tasks one Knesset member with forming a government.
- This market resolves to the person President Herzog FIRST formally tasks with forming the government after the October 27, 2026 election.
- Resolution source: the official announcement from the President's Office (gov.il / president.gov.il), confirmed by Times of Israel, Haaretz, Reuters or AP reporting dated on or after the tasking.
- Only the first formal mandate counts.
- A second mandate later (if the first person fails) does not change the answer.