Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualDemocrats 56%Líder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
74
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+6.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado7 ene 26, 16:24 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
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Manifold MarketsWhich party will control the Senate after the midterm elections?
SmarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on which party controls the U.S. Senate following elections scheduled for November 3, 2026, when 35 of the 100 Senate seats will be contested.
- Control is determined by which party holds a majority of seats (51 or more).
- The Senate currently has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents who caucus with Democrats).
- Democrats need a net gain of four seats to win a majority, while Republicans can lose no more than two seats to retain control.
- Resolution will be based on official election results certified by state authorities and reported by major news outlets (AP, Reuters, etc.).
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 193,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 710,8 mil €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 584,6 mil €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volumen total
- 29,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 407,5 mil €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 14,9 M €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Democrats al 56% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms??
- Está previsto que Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria
- ¿Dónde más está listado Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en PredictIt.