Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 18 jul 2026, 0:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Pronóstico comunitario actualRepublicans 55%+2.1ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
62
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 días
Desactualizado7 ene 26, 16:2431 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Democrats45%
Comparar plataformas· Republicans
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 55% | — | — | — | hace 9 días | |
 PredictIt84% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 61% | — | — | — | hace 27 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en PredictIt
Which party will control the Senate after the 2026 election?
6m
61%
39%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITReglas
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on which party controls the U.S.
- Senate following elections scheduled for November 3, 2026, when 35 of the 100 Senate seats will be contested.
- Control is determined by which party holds a majority of seats (51 or more).
- The Senate currently has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents who caucus with Democrats).
- Democrats need a net gain of four seats to win a majority, while Republicans can lose no more than two seats to retain control.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$2110 jul5d de datos18 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
945,8 mil €Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Republican presidential nominee
177,8 mil €Donald J. Trump: 3%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
163,2 mil €Nicolás Maduro: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
49 mil €At least 1%: 45%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the SAVE America Act become law?
48,1 mil €Before Jan 1, 2027: 12%KALSHI
KALSHI
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
34,2 mil €Abdul El-Sayed: 66%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsReglas
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on which party controls the U.S.
- Senate following elections scheduled for November 3, 2026, when 35 of the 100 Senate seats will be contested.
- Control is determined by which party holds a majority of seats (51 or more).
- The Senate currently has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents who caucus with Democrats).
- Democrats need a net gain of four seats to win a majority, while Republicans can lose no more than two seats to retain control.