Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNigel Farage 63%Líder entre 8 opciones
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18
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multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
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Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado5 may 25, 0:29 UTC2 ene 29, 1:28 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
If this person is leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election, will the PM be Reform?
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KalshiReglas
Resolves at the leader of Reform UK.
- If Reform UK has changed its name but is still the same party, resolves at the leader of that party.
- If Reform UK no longer exists as a separate political party, resolves "Nobody".