Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice?
US PoliticsManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualKetanji Brown Jackson 22.4%Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
25
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado9 abr 24, 14:44 UTC17 abr 21, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
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The idea of this market is to predict the order in which justices will leave office.
- I will add options as new justices are sworn in.
- I will resolve a justice's market with a percentage when they leave office, either by stepping down, being removed or by death.
- The n-th person to leave will be resolved with (n-1)%.
- For instance, the first justice to leave will be resolved with NO, and the second one with 1%.
- All justices that step down after the 100th will be resolved with YES.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Ketanji Brown Jackson al 22% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice??
- Está previsto que Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice? se resuelva el 17 de abril de 2121.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The idea of this market is to predict the order in which justices will leave office.