If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
One-OffPolítica de EE. UU.PolíticaElección2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 87.4%
Pronosticadores
158
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
10 mar 24, 0:19 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many justices will Trump appoint to SCOTUS?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will he or any member of his cabinet criticize the Constitution by the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhich SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
Manifold MarketsIf Robert F Kennedy Jr serves under Trump, will he get fired or forced to resign within 2 years?
Manifold MarketsWho will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiReglas
This market resolves yes if Donald Trump appoints a Supreme Court Justice between his inauguration and January 1st, 2027.
- Only a justice who is confirmed by the Senate counts.
- If Donald Trump is not re-elected, this market resolves N/A. May differ from the same Biden conditional market due to different probabilities of also controlling the Senate and strategically timed retirements.
- See here for the market on if Biden wins:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldPolitics/if-harris-wins-will-she-appoint-ano)