If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolíticaElección3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 87.8%
Pronosticadores
156
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado10 mar 24, 0:19 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
This market resolves yes if Donald Trump appoints a Supreme Court Justice between his inauguration and January 1st, 2027.
- Only a justice who is confirmed by the Senate counts.
- If Donald Trump is not re-elected, this market resolves N/A. May differ from the same Biden conditional market due to different probabilities of also controlling the Senate and strategically timed retirements.
- See here for the market on if Biden wins:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldPolitics/if-harris-wins-will-she-appoint-ano)
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027??
- Está previsto que If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves yes if Donald Trump appoints a Supreme Court Justice between his inauguration and January 1st, 2027.