Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 jul 2026, 1:13 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Pronóstico comunitario actualClarence Thomas 22.8%-0.3%Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
49
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 25 días
Desactualizado22 jul 23, 13:071 ene 27, 5:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Clarence Thomas23%
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Out of all the current justices on the Supreme Court, who will be the first to stop serving for any reason? This could be due to death, resignation/retirement, impeachment, term limits being imposed, incapacitation, or any other reason.
- The justices are listed here in order of seniority.
- I will extend the closure date if no one has left the bench yet.